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INNODATA INC (INOD)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered record revenue of $62.6M, +20% YoY and +7% QoQ; Adjusted EBITDA was $16.2M (26% margin), and cash rose to $73.9M, all at or near all-time highs .
- The company reiterated FY2025 organic revenue growth of ≥45% (raised from ≥40% in Q1), citing strong Big Tech momentum and early traction from new investment areas; management framed 2026 as “transformative” on new wins and Federal ramp .
- Against S&P Global consensus, INOD posted a clean beat: Revenue $62.6M vs $59.8M est., EPS $0.24 vs $0.14 est., and EBITDA outperformed S&P’s EBITDA framework (see Estimates Context) [GetEstimates*].
- Key catalysts: verbal expansion from the largest customer; a verbal win with another Big Tech (~$6.5M run-rate); ~$68M potential pre‑training data programs (signed/likely); and Innodata Federal’s initial ~$25M project (mostly 2026) .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
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What Went Well
- Record Q3 revenue and margin expansion QoQ: “record revenue of $62.6 million… Adjusted EBITDA was $16.2 million, or 26% of revenue, up 23% sequentially” .
- Pipeline and customer momentum: verbal expansion with largest customer; verbal deal with another Big Tech (~$6.5M ARR) .
- New vectors with quantified traction: “$68 million of potential revenue” from pre‑training data programs (five customers) and Innodata Federal’s initial project (~$25M, mostly 2026) .
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What Went Wrong
- GAAP EPS down YoY due to prior‑year tax benefit: Q3 2025 diluted EPS $0.24 vs $0.51 in Q3 2024; last year benefited from NOLCO tax benefit (~$0.27 diluted) .
- Synodex pressure: Q3 2025 gross margin compressed to 7% GAAP (14% adj.) vs 25% (31% adj.) in Q3 2024 .
- Elevated operating costs tied to growth investments: management incurred ~$9.5M 2025 capability-building investments (incl. ~$8.2M SG&A + direct ops and $1.3M capex) to capture demand, weighing near‑term GAAP profitability .
Financial Results
Segment revenue ($USD Millions)
KPIs
Notes: Net income YoY decline reflects a Q3 2024 NOLCO tax benefit that added ~$0.27 to diluted EPS last year .
Guidance Changes
Management also guided to “continued transformative growth” in 2026 on Big Tech expansion, pre‑training ramp, and Federal pipeline .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We delivered record revenue of $62.6 million… Adjusted EBITDA was $16.2 million, or 26% of revenue… Cash rose to $73.9 million… Our results exceeded analyst expectation across key metrics.” — Jack Abuhoff, CEO .
- “We’ve since signed contracts we believe could result in approximately $42 million of revenue… expect to soon sign… approximately $26 million… $68 million of potential revenue… programs… are just ramping up.” — Jack Abuhoff on pre‑training data .
- “We anticipate this initial [Federal] project to result in approximately $25 million of revenue, mostly in 2026… We expect to issue a joint press release… prior to year-end.” — Jack Abuhoff .
- “We reiterate prior guidance of 45% or more year-over-year growth in 2025, and we anticipate potentially transformative growth in 2026.” — Jack Abuhoff .
- “Adjusted EBITDA was $16.2 million, up 23% quarter-over-quarter… Net income… $8.3 million… The decrease [YoY] was mainly due to [Q3’24] tax benefit… NOLCO.” — Marissa Espineli, Interim CFO .
Q&A Highlights
- Contract sizing/timing: Analysts tallied close to ~$100M across mentioned wins; management clarified some are annualized recurring vs multi‑year and most revenue skews to 2026 as ramps occur .
- Incremental spending: ~$8.2M of incremental 2025 SG&A (vs 2024) is part of ~$9.5M capability investments to capture demand .
- Largest customer: relationship “strong,” business up sequentially; verbal confirmation for a “very large new program” to be onboarded under current MSA/SOW framework .
- Federal procurement: management cited executive orders and GSA acquisition changes accelerating AI procurement; positioning INOD to scale without traditional bottlenecks .
- Market size: Enterprise AI services market could be “10x” model builder market; early deployments showing tangible cost savings (e.g., ~$24M for a social media customer) .
Estimates Context
Q3 2025 Actual vs S&P Global Consensus
Values with asterisks (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Why beats: Management cited accelerating Big Tech expansions (largest customer + new logos), early wins in pre‑training data ($68M potential), and initial Federal award ($25M), driving topline and operating leverage .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Momentum broadening beyond post‑training data: quantified pre‑training deals (
$68M potential) and Federal ($25M initial) expand TAM and diversify mix into 2026 . - Demand durability: reiterated ≥45% FY2025 growth and “transformative” 2026 outlook anchored by largest‑customer expansion, new Big Tech wins, and sovereign/enterprise vectors .
- Profit trajectory: QoQ margin expansion (Adj. EBITDA 26%) despite capability investments; expect EBITDA expansion with scale and utilization, though GAAP EPS comps are muddied by last year’s tax benefit .
- Execution leverage: onboarding under existing MSA/SOW enables rapid scaling of the largest‑customer program, a near‑term catalyst if converted from verbal to signed .
- Federal/government as new growth pillar: procurement tailwinds and marquee customer relationships can improve revenue visibility and reduce single‑vertical risk .
- Watch Synodex/segment mix: Synodex margin compression is a minor headwind, but DDS and Agility strength, plus new vectors, offset .
- Near‑term trading setup: Confirmed verbal expansions and potential pre‑year‑end Federal press release are catalysts; sustained revenue beats vs consensus could drive positive estimate revisions* [GetEstimates*].
Appendix: Source Comparisons and Non‑GAAP
- INOD highlights Adjusted EBITDA ($16.2M) which adds back stock‑based comp and other items per its definition; S&P’s EBITDA series (est./actual) reflects a different framework (~$12.5M Q3 2025), so use care when comparing EBITDA across sources [GetEstimates*].
- Q3 diluted EPS decline YoY is explained by the prior‑year NOLCO tax benefit of ~$0.27 (diluted), not operational deterioration; sequential profitability improved .
Citations:
- Q3 2025 8‑K press release and financials .
- Q3 2025 earnings call transcript .
- Q2 2025 press release/8‑K .
- Q1 2025 press release/8‑K .
- S&P Global consensus and actual series where noted with asterisks [GetEstimates*].